Antonov · Regional jet
Antonov An-148 / An-158
Is the Antonov An-148 / An-158 safe? It ranks Shared rankWithin 1 point of other aircraft types: the difference is not meaningful.More in the glossary of 53 airliner families we rate, with 1 fatal accident counted in about 300,000 passenger flights.
How the score is built
- Fatal passenger accidents
- 1 in 0.3 million flights
3.3 fatal passenger accidents per million flights. Counted: passenger flights, accidents and unexplained losses; not counted: sabotage, hijackings, shoot-downs and deliberate crew acts.
- Full-loss equivalents
- 1
Each counted accident adds the share of people on board who died (1 = no survivors). This is what the score is based on.
- Flights flown
- 0.3 million
Estimated passenger departures. Passenger departures 2009 to 7 October 2026 from a fleet model: deliveries with a median passenger service life of about 8 years and about 1,366 departures per aircraft per year (average of similar types in OpenSky). OpenSky sees too few of these aircraft. Uncertainty roughly ±50%.
- Technology generation
- Gen 3 jet (glass cockpit and flight management system)
Small fleets are pulled toward the record of their generation: 0.17 full-loss equivalents per million flights over 419 million flights. Weight of this family's own record: 9%.
- Last fatal passenger accident
- 11 February 2018
Saratov Airlines, near Stepanovskoye, Ramenskoye district, Russia: 71 of 71 people on board died.
- Hull losses
- 2
Civil aircraft destroyed or written off from all causes, including non-fatal accidents, cargo flights and attacks; airframes flown by air forces on military operations are left out (context only, not in the score).
Compared with everyday risks
One flight on the Antonov An-148 / An-158 carries about the same risk of death as the activities near it below.
- An hour's walk1 in 14 million
- Driving 100 miles (160 km)1 in 5.9 million
- One flight on the Antonov An-148 / An-158This aircraft1 in 2.2 million
- A day of skiing1 in 1.3 million
- An ordinary day: accidents and violence1 in 1 million
- A scuba dive1 in 500,000
- Cycling 100 miles (160 km)1 in 430,000
- Running a marathon1 in 290,000
- A skydive1 in 250,000
- A general anaesthetic1 in 100,000
- Riding a motorbike 100 miles (160 km)1 in 83,000
Accident history
1 fatal accident counts toward the score, with 71 people on board killed.
| Date | Flight | Killed | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saratov AirlinesAn-148-100B · near Stepanovskoye, Ramenskoye district, Russia | 71 / 71 on board | The crew took off from Domodedovo without turning on pitot heating. In cloud the airspeed indications iced up and disagreed, and after disconnecting the autopilot the crew let the aircraft enter a steep dive into a snowy field. Investigators classed it as loss of control.Type: Loss of control in flightASN record |
Listed but not counted
These events did not happen on regular passenger flights or were caused by a crime or a deliberate act, which says little about the aircraft design.
| Date | Flight | Killed | Why not counted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Voronezh Aircraft Production Association - VASOAn-148-100E · Garbuzovo, Belgorod region, Russia | 6 / 6 on board | Test flight. Pre-delivery training flight for Myanmar Air Force pilots that broke up in the air. Investigators found the crew let the jet exceed its design speed limit by 110 km/h in an emergency descent, causing vibration that overstressed the structure.Type: Loss of control in flightASN record |
The An-148 is a modern design with a short and thin record. Up to 7 October 2026 it has had one fatal passenger accident, Saratov Airlines 703 in 2018, which killed all 71 people on board. That is one crash in only about 300,000 passenger flights, so it weighs heavily, and with so few aircraft left the record will not get much longer. You are unlikely to fly on one unless you travel within Russia or to North Korea.
What the An-148 is
The An-148 is a twin-engine regional jet designed by Antonov in Kyiv. It first flew in 2004 and entered service in 2009. It has a high wing, engines in pods under the wing and a sturdy landing gear, so it can use shorter and rougher runways than most regional jets. It seats about 75; the stretched An-158 seats about 99. The cockpit has screens and Fly-by-wireA flight control system in which the pilot's inputs go to computers, which then move the control surfaces. Many such systems also stop unsafe manoeuvres.More in the glossary controls. We could not confirm that it has full envelope protection of the Airbus kind, so it sits with third-generation jets in our methodology.
Only about 45 were built, in Kyiv and at the VASO plant in Voronezh, Russia. Rossiya, part of the Aeroflot group, was the largest early operator. Cuba's Cubana was the main An-158 customer. Today about 15 remain in service, mostly with Russian government and military fleets and a few regional airlines, plus Air Koryo in North Korea.
Saratov Airlines 703
On 11 February 2018, flight 703 took off from Moscow Domodedovo in light snow for Orsk. The aircraft had arrived late, and the crew rushed their preparations. They did not switch on the heating of the three pitot tubes, the probes that measure airspeed. About two and a half minutes after take-off, the speed readings began to disagree. The crew disconnected the autopilot, the aircraft pitched down to about 30 degrees and hit a snowy field near Stepanovskoye. All 65 passengers and 6 crew died.
Russia's Interstate Aviation Committee called it a loss of control caused by the crew's actions with unreliable airspeed from iced pitot tubes. It also listed design points: on the An-148, pitot heating is switched on just before the take-off run, which makes it easy to miss, and some warning messages cannot be cleared. Six warnings were on screen before take-off, three of them about pitot heat. Crews at Saratov Airlines had grown used to taking off with messages showing, the airline had a poor safety culture, and no simulator could train the unreliable-airspeed case.
The other fatal event
On 5 March 2011, an An-148 built for the Myanmar Air Force broke up in flight near Garbuzovo in the Belgorod region during a training flight. It had been allowed to reach 110 km/h above its design limit speed in an emergency descent. All six crew died. It was a pre-delivery test and training flight with no passengers, so it does not count in our passenger rate.
Parts and support
The An-148 depends on Ukraine. Antonov holds the design, and its D-436-148 engines were made by Ukrainian industry. Production stopped as relations between the two countries broke down. Since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Russian operators have had no access to the original designer or engine maker. We cannot measure how this affects maintenance from accident data, but it is a reason to treat the type with caution. The Sukhoi Superjet, its Russian rival, faces a similar problem with its French engine partner.
How to tell if you are on one
Flight trackers show the ICAO code A148, or A158 for the stretched version. From outside, look for a high-wing jet with two engines hanging under the wing; the BAe 146 looks similar but has four. If you have a choice on a Russian domestic route, look at the airline's record first; on a type with this few flights, it tells you more.
Questions people ask
What caused the Saratov Airlines An-148 crash?
On 11 February 2018 the crew took off from Moscow Domodedovo in snow without switching on the heating of the three pitot tubes. Ice blocked them, the airspeed indications became unreliable, and the crew lost control and dived into a field. All 71 people on board died. Russia's Interstate Aviation Committee also blamed the airline's weak safety culture and gaps in crew training.
Is the An-148 still flying?
Only a few. About 45 were built and roughly 15 remain in service, mostly in Russia with government and military operators and a small number of airlines. North Korea's Air Koryo also has a couple. Production has ended.
Is the An-148 the same as the An-158?
The An-158 is a stretched An-148 with about 99 seats instead of 75. Both share the same wing, engines and systems, and we count them as one family.
Who makes parts for the An-148?
The design comes from Antonov in Kyiv and the D-436-148 engines from Ukraine. The jets fly mostly in Russia. Since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Russian operators cannot get support from the Ukrainian designer or engine maker.
Sources
- 1.ASN record: Saratov Airlines flight 703, An-148-100B, near Stepanovskoye, 11 February 2018 (opens in a new tab) · Aviation Safety Network
- 2.ASN record: VASO An-148-100E test flight, Garbuzovo, 5 March 2011 (opens in a new tab) · Aviation Safety Network
- 3.SafetyScorer fleet model (World Bank departures, OpenSky averages) (opens in a new tab) · World Bank
- 4.SafetyScorer fleet model (World Bank departures, OpenSky averages) (opens in a new tab)Passenger departures 2009 to 7 October 2026 from a fleet model: deliveries with a median passenger service life of about 8 years and about 1,366 departures per aircraft per year (average of similar types in OpenSky). OpenSky sees too few of these aircraft. Uncertainty roughly ±50%.