Is Azerbaijan Airlines safe?
Azerbaijan Airlines
AZAL's Embraer 190 on flight 8243 crashed at Aktau on 25 December 2024, killing 38, after being hit by fragments that Azerbaijan and Russia's president attribute to Russian air defence. We record it as an attack, not an accident. AZAL is IOSA-registered and not EU-listed, but it flies near an active conflict zone.
- Flight 8243
- Embraer 190, Aktau, 25 December 2024 (38 of 67 died)
- Last fatal accident
- Antonov An-140 near Baku, 23 December 2005 (23 died)
- Fleet
- 29 aircraft (July 2026), new A320neo and A321neo arriving
- Flights
- 8,462 in January–June 2026, 52 destinations
- Owner
- Azerbaijani state (AZCON Holding)
- Regulator
- Azerbaijan State Civil Aviation Agency (FAA FAA IASAThe US FAA's check of whether a country's aviation regulator meets ICAO standards. Category 1 means it does; Category 2 means it does not.More in the glossary)
- EU Air Safety List
- Not listed (June 2026)
- IOSA
- Registered (IATA member)
How the score breaks down
The overall score is the weighted average of these factors. Scoring rules
Accident record40% of score
80 out of 100, GoodNo fatal accident in the last 20 years. Flight 8243 (2024, 38 dead) was hit by warhead fragments, so we count it as unlawful interference, not an accident. The last fatal crash, an An-140 near Baku in December 2005 (23 dead), sits just outside the window; volume is small.
Regulatory oversight20% of score
72 out of 100, GoodAzerbaijan holds FAA IASAThe US FAA's check of whether a country's aviation regulator meets ICAO standards. Category 1 means it does; Category 2 means it does not.More in the glossary Category 1 (April 2025), no Azerbaijani airline is on the EU Air Safety ListThe European Commission's list of airlines banned or restricted from flying in EU airspace because they do not meet international safety standards.More in the glossary (June 2026) and AZAL is IOSAThe IATA Operational Safety Audit, an international audit of an airline's safety management and operations. Every IATA member must pass it.More in the glossary as an IATA member. The Aktau investigation is reviewing how AZAL and the authorities assessed the risk of flying into southern Russia that morning.
Fleet15% of score
70 out of 100, Good29 aircraft in July 2026 (AZAL). Four A320neos and a first A321neo arrived in 2025–2026, alongside older A319s and A320s, Boeing 767s and 787-8s and Embraer 190s. The airline plans 50 aircraft by 2032. No average age is published.
Serious incidents15% of score
65 out of 100, FairAn A319 ran off the runway with a collapsed nose gear at Istanbul in August 2010 (no injuries), and a 757 lost cabin pressure over the Caspian in August 2023 (AeroInside). Azerbaijan publishes few incident reports, so the record is thin rather than clean.
Operating environment10% of score
50 out of 100, WeakEASA's conflict-zone bulletin for Russian airspace is active until January 2027, and GPS jamming is common across the Caucasus and southern Russia. AZAL still flies to Moscow and other Russian cities. Baku itself is a modern airport.
Is Azerbaijan Airlines safe?
Yes, on most of its network. AZAL, Azerbaijan's state airline, has had no fatal accident in 20 years, holds an IOSAThe IATA Operational Safety Audit, an international audit of an airline's safety management and operations. Every IATA member must pass it.More in the glossary, and its home country is in FAA FAA IASAThe US FAA's check of whether a country's aviation regulator meets ICAO standards. Category 1 means it does; Category 2 means it does not.More in the glossary and absent from the EU Air Safety ListThe European Commission's list of airlines banned or restricted from flying in EU airspace because they do not meet international safety standards.More in the glossary. The catch is where it flies. On 25 December 2024 one of its Embraer 190s was wrecked by weapon fragments over southern Russia and crashed near Aktau, killing 38 people. We do not count that as an accident, but it is the main reason the operating environment scores only 50. Overall: 72.
What happened on flight 8243?
The Embraer 190, registered 4K-AZ65, left Baku for Grozny in Chechnya with 62 passengers and 5 crew. Kazakhstan's preliminary report of 4 February 2025 describes what followed. Descending towards Grozny, the crew lost both GPS receivers and asked for an older NDB approach. In fog and low cloud, they abandoned two attempts to land. Russia's aviation agency later said Ukrainian drones were attacking the area that morning.
At 05:13:31 UTC, during the second go-around, the cockpit recorder picked up a loud bang. Within seconds two of the three hydraulic systems emptied and the third lost pressure, the cabin depressurised, and the elevators, ailerons and rudder froze in neutral. A flight attendant reported that two seats had "exploded". With no flight controls, the pilots flew on for more than an hour across the Caspian Sea, steering with engine thrust alone, and tried to land at Aktau. The jet hit the ground about 5 km short of the runway. The captain, first officer, a flight attendant and 35 passengers died; 29 people survived.
The wreck had many holes in the tail, fin, left wing and left engine, some of them rectangular, and investigators found many foreign objects inside the aircraft.
Who is responsible?
The investigators and governments involved have said this, in order:
- 28 December 2024: Russia's president apologised to Azerbaijan's president that "the tragic incident" happened in Russian airspace while air defences were repelling a drone attack.
- 29 December 2024: Azerbaijan's president said the aircraft had been shot down by Russia, though not intentionally, and refused a Russian-led investigation.
- 9 October 2025: Russia's president said two missiles fired by the Russian military had detonated near the aircraft, and promised compensation.
- 25 December 2025: Kazakhstan's interim statement found the damage was most likely caused by warhead fragments of iron-based alloy, and that no explosive traces came from inside the aircraft. It did not establish where the warhead came from.
The Aviation Safety Network classes the crash as unlawful interference. Like Malaysia Airlines' MH17, we describe it in full but leave it out of the accident score. Kazakhstan's final report is still pending. One open question does touch the airline: a working group is reviewing how the Russian and Azerbaijani authorities and AZAL assessed the risk of flying to Grozny that day.
The record before Aktau
AZAL's last fatal accident was on 23 December 2005, when an Antonov An-140 bound for Aktau lost its attitude indicators at night after take-off from Baku and spiralled into the shore at Nardaran, killing all 23 on board; counterfeit parts fitted during production were blamed. That is now just outside our 20-year window. In 1995 a Tu-134 crashed at Nakhchivan with 52 dead. Since then the only damage accident in the Aviation Safety Network data is an A319 whose nose gear collapsed when it ran off the runway at Istanbul in August 2010; all 127 people got out unhurt.
AZAL is a small airline: 8,462 flights in the first half of 2026. With so few flights, a 20-year clean record means less than it would for a large carrier, so the accident record scores 80, not 90+.
What does AZAL fly?
The fleet stood at 29 aircraft in July 2026. Narrowbodies are the Airbus A320 family: older A319s and A320s, four A320neos and, since June 2026, a first A321neo. Long-haul and busy routes use Boeing 767-300ERs and 787-8 Dreamliners, and Embraer 190s fly thinner routes. AZAL plans to grow to 50 aircraft by 2032 and does not publish an average age.
How to fly AZAL more safely
- Check the routing on Russian and Caucasus flights. EASA's bulletin for Russian airspace, last revised in July 2026, stays active until 31 January 2027. Flights into southern Russia carry a risk that has nothing to do with the airline's maintenance or crews.
- Expect GPS problems in the region to be normal. Jamming forced flight 8243 onto older approach aids. It is common across the Caucasus and the Black Sea area, and crews are trained for it, but it narrows the margins in bad weather.
- Prefer European, Turkish and Gulf routes if you have a choice. That is most of AZAL's network, flown on the same aircraft by the same crews, without the conflict-zone exposure.
How we scored it
The accident record (80) reflects 20 years without a counted fatal accident, on a small number of flights. Oversight (72) gives credit for IOSAThe IATA Operational Safety Audit, an international audit of an airline's safety management and operations. Every IATA member must pass it.More in the glossary and FAA FAA IASAThe US FAA's check of whether a country's aviation regulator meets ICAO standards. Category 1 means it does; Category 2 means it does not.More in the glossary but notes the open review of conflict-zone risk assessment. Incidents (65) are hard to judge because few reports are published, and the environment (50) reflects flights near an active war. Compare Turkish Airlines, which shares many of AZAL's routes.
Questions people ask
What happened to Azerbaijan Airlines flight 8243?
On 25 December 2024 the Embraer 190 from Baku to Grozny lost GPS, abandoned two approaches in fog during a Ukrainian drone raid, and was then damaged by an external blast that knocked out all three hydraulic systems. The crew steered it across the Caspian Sea with engine thrust alone and crashed near Aktau in Kazakhstan. 38 of the 67 people on board died and 29 survived.
Was the AZAL plane shot down by Russia?
Azerbaijan's president said on 29 December 2024 that Russia shot it down, though not on purpose. In October 2025 Russia's president said two Russian air-defence missiles had detonated next to the aircraft and promised compensation. Kazakhstan's interim statement of December 2025 found the damage came from warhead fragments but did not name their source; the final report is still pending.
Does AZAL still fly to Russia?
AZAL suspended flights to Grozny, Makhachkala and several other Russian cities after the crash. Moscow was still among its busiest routes in the first half of 2026. EASA's conflict-zone bulletin for Russian airspace remains active, so check the latest schedule and your government's advice before you book.
Is Azerbaijan Airlines banned in the EU?
No. No Azerbaijani airline appears on the EU Air Safety ListThe European Commission's list of airlines banned or restricted from flying in EU airspace because they do not meet international safety standards.More in the glossary of 9 June 2026, and AZAL flies to several European cities. Azerbaijan is also in FAA FAA IASAThe US FAA's check of whether a country's aviation regulator meets ICAO standards. Category 1 means it does; Category 2 means it does not.More in the glossary.
Sources
- 1.ASN Wikibase 468275 – Azerbaijan Airlines Embraer 190 4K-AZ65, Aktau, 25 December 2024 (opens in a new tab) · Aviation Safety Network, 2024
- 2.Azerbaijan E190 near Aktau on Dec 25th 2024, lost height and impacted ground after being shot at (opens in a new tab) · AeroInside, 2025
- 3.Kazakhstan Releases Interim Findings on Azerbaijan Airlines Crash (opens in a new tab) · The Times of Central Asia, 2025
- 4.ASN Wikibase 321259 – Azerbaijan Airlines A319 4K-AZ04, Istanbul, 12 August 2010 (opens in a new tab) · Aviation Safety Network, 2010
- 5.AZAL served nearly 2M passengers in 1H2026 (opens in a new tab) · Report.az, 2026
- 6.AZAL expands fleet with addition of its first next-generation Airbus A321neo (opens in a new tab) · Report.az, 2026
- 7.EU Air Safety List (9 June 2026) (opens in a new tab) · European Commission, 2026
- 8.International Aviation Safety Assessment (IASA) country list (opens in a new tab) · FAA, 2025
- 9.IATA airline members – Azerbaijan Airlines (opens in a new tab) · IATA, 2026
- 10.EASA Conflict Zone Information Bulletins (opens in a new tab) · EASA, 2026