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SafetyScorer

Is Toki Air safe?

Toki Air

Toki Air, the Niigata turboprop airline that began flying in January 2024, has had no accident or serious incident so far and flies three young ATRs. Its record is under three years long, its first year brought a cluster of human-error reports, and the company has made heavy losses.

Medium confidence#116 of 366 airlines
Updated
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#116of 366 airlines

Medium confidence
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Fatal accidents
None since the first flight on 31 January 2024
Accidents and serious incidents
None in the JTSB records
Fleet
2 ATR 72-600s (72 seats) and 1 ATR 42-600 (46 seats), average 4.5 years (March 2026)
Flights
About 2,500 scheduled flights in fiscal 2025
Network
Niigata to Sapporo Okadama, Nagoya Chubu and Kobe (winter 2026)
Finances
Net loss of ¥2.4 billion and negative net worth in the year to March 2026
Regulator
Japan Civil Aviation Bureau (FAA FAA IASAThe US FAA's check of whether a country's aviation regulator meets ICAO standards. Category 1 means it does; Category 2 means it does not.More in the glossary)
IOSA
Not an IATA member; not confirmed

How the score breaks down

The overall score is the weighted average of these factors. Scoring rules

  • Accident record40% of score

    86 out of 100, Excellent

    No accident and no serious incident since the first scheduled flight on 31 January 2024, in the JTSB's records or Toki Air's safety reports. Under three years at about 2,500 flights a year is far too short a record for the upper bands.

  • Regulatory oversight20% of score

    86 out of 100, Excellent

    Japan's Civil Aviation Bureau holds FAA IASAThe US FAA's check of whether a country's aviation regulator meets ICAO standards. Category 1 means it does; Category 2 means it does not.More in the glossary Category 1, no Japanese airline has been on the EU Air Safety ListThe European Commission's list of airlines banned or restricted from flying in EU airspace because they do not meet international safety standards.More in the glossary, and the JTSB publishes full reports. Toki Air is not an IATA member and we found no IOSAThe IATA Operational Safety Audit, an international audit of an airline's safety management and operations. Every IATA member must pass it.More in the glossary. Its safety reports list no regulatory action in fiscal 2024 or 2025.

  • Fleet15% of score

    80 out of 100, Good

    Three ATR -600 turboprops averaging 4.5 years at 31 March 2026 (safety report): ATR 72-600s JA01QQ and JA02QQ, which arrived in 2022 and 2023 at two to three years old, and an ATR 42-600 delivered in December 2024. Current types with glass cockpits, but not Fly-by-wireA flight control system in which the pilot's inputs go to computers, which then move the control surfaces. Many such systems also stop unsafe manoeuvres.More in the glossary.

  • Serious incidents15% of score

    78 out of 100, Good

    No serious incident. In fiscal 2024 it reported 17 safety troubles, 10 from human error: a first officer flew before meeting the required hours, a door safety pin was twice mishandled, and seven repairs went unlogged. Fiscal 2025 brought one, an overdue maintenance task. The company said its safety system was weak at the start.

  • Operating environment10% of score

    78 out of 100, Good

    Niigata and Sapporo's Okadama get heavy snow, and winter lightning on the Sea of Japan coast grounded both ATR 72s for 11 days in December 2024 and January 2025. Approval for ILS Category I approaches came only on 31 October 2025. Chubu and Kobe are well equipped.

Is Toki Air safe?

Yes, on the record so far. Toki Air, the airline of Niigata, has flown scheduled flights since 31 January 2024 without an accident or a serious incident, flies three young ATR turboprops and is overseen by Japan's Civil Aviation Bureau. The catch is that the record is short: under three years and about 2,500 flights a year. We score it 83, level with Amakusa Airlines, which has 26 clean years but older equipment and a missed maintenance check, and just below IBEX (84), the ANA-linked regional jet airline that also serves Niigata.

Toki Air sells its own tickets as BV flights and flies under its own ICAO code, TOK, assigned in June 2023: on 28 October 2026 its ATR 72 JA02QQ flew from Sapporo to Niigata as "TOK104". It is independent of the big Japanese groups, so its record is its own.

What the first two years show

Toki Air publishes detailed safety reports, and the first one is frank. In fiscal 2024, its first full year, it reported 17 "safety troubles" to the regulator, ten of them from human error. A first officer flew from the right seat before he had the flying hours the rules require for it. Cabin crew twice mishandled a door safety pin, once leaving it in the ground position for take-off. On one day in October 2024 engineers replaced seven cockpit warning lights without writing them in the logbook, because they wrongly believed no entry was needed. None of this caused harm, and each item led to a rule or training change. The company wrote that its safety management system "was not working well enough" at the start.

Fiscal 2025 looked better: one human-error report in about 2,500 flights, a maintenance task done after its due date on 19 October 2025, and four flights that turned back to Niigata after warnings on the climb (a radio, de-icing and two engine torque readings). The regulator took no action in either year.

Winter is the hard part

Niigata sits on the Sea of Japan coast, where winter brings heavy snow and lightning storms. In December 2024 and January 2025 both ATR 72s were damaged, mainly by lightning strikes, and Toki Air cancelled every flight on 11 days before it got them back on 15 and 21 January. Its northern destination, Sapporo's Okadama, is a small city airport in one of Japan's snowiest cities.

There was one more gap for a new airline. Only on 31 October 2025 did the Civil Aviation Bureau approve Toki Air to fly ILS Category I approaches, the standard precision approach in bad weather. Before that its crews needed better weather to land, which meant more diversions and cancellations, not more risk. The airline also flies charters to Sado Island, whose runway is short and narrow: on its first Kobe to Sado charter in May 2026, weight limits held the ATR 42 to 20 passengers.

The fleet

Three turboprops from ATR's current -600 series. The two 72-seat ATR 72-600s joined in November 2022 and January 2023 at two to three years old; the 46-seat ATR 42-600 was delivered in December 2024. At 31 March 2026 they averaged 4.5 years. They have modern glass cockpits and Pratt & Whitney Canada engines, and the type has a long record on regional routes worldwide.

The money question

Toki Air is losing money. It lost ¥2.4 billion in the year to March 2026 and has had more liabilities than assets for two years running, according to Nikkei, and Niigata Prefecture has twice agreed to defer repayments on its loans. Losses alone do not make an airline unsafe, and the regulator has found nothing against it. But a small airline under financial strain is one to watch, and we will look at its next safety report closely.

How to fly Toki Air

  • Avoid tight connections in winter. From December to March, book the morning flight and leave a spare half-day if you connect at Chubu or Sapporo.
  • Do not book months ahead without checking the news. With the finances this tight, look for any word on schedule cuts before you pay for a trip far in advance.

How we scored it

Oversight (86) reflects Japan's strong regulator without confirmed IOSAThe IATA Operational Safety Audit, an international audit of an airline's safety management and operations. Every IATA member must pass it.More in the glossary. The accident record (86) is clean but under three years long. The young ATR fleet scores 80. Serious incidents (78) carry the run of human-error reports in the first year, which fell sharply in the second. Snow and winter lightning at Niigata and Okadama put the environment at 78. Overall 83.

Questions people ask

Is Toki Air safe for such a new airline?

So far, yes. Toki Air has had no accident or serious incident since its first flight in January 2024, and it flies young ATR turboprops under Japan's strict regulator. The record is still short, and its first year brought a run of human-error reports, so we score it below airlines with decades of clean flying.

Why did Toki Air cancel all its flights in the winter of 2024–25?

Both of its ATR 72s were out of service after damage that the airline put down mainly to lightning strikes. It cancelled every flight on 11 days in December 2024 and January 2025, brought one aircraft back on 15 January and the second on 21 January.

Do Toki Air's financial losses affect safety?

Not as far as the records show. The regulator has taken no action against Toki Air, and its safety reports show fewer human-error reports in its second year. It lost ¥2.4 billion in the year to March 2026 and has had more liabilities than assets for two years, so check for news before booking far ahead.

Does Toki Air fly to Sado Island?

Only on charters for now. Toki Air flew its ATR 42-600 from Kobe to Sado on 28 May 2026 with 20 passengers, limited because Sado's runway is short and narrow. It has not started scheduled flights there.

Sources

  1. 1.安全報告書 2025年度 (safety report, fiscal 2025) (opens in a new tab) · TOKI AIR Co., Ltd., 2026
  2. 2.安全報告書 2024年度 (safety report, fiscal 2024) (opens in a new tab) · TOKI AIR Co., Ltd., 2025
  3. 3.機材・シートマップ (fleet and seat maps) (opens in a new tab) · TOKI AIR Co., Ltd., 2026
  4. 4.Aircraft accident and serious incident search – operator Toki Air (トキエア) (opens in a new tab) · Japan Transport Safety Board, 2026
  5. 5.トキエア、悪天候時の就航率改善へ カテゴリーI航行取得 (Category I approval) (opens in a new tab) · Aviation Wire, 2025
  6. 6.トキエア、冬ダイヤ3路線 (winter 2026 schedule) (opens in a new tab) · Aviation Wire, 2026
  7. 7.「トキエア」機体トラブルから復帰 15日から1機が運航再開 (return to service after 11 days of cancellations) (opens in a new tab) · TeNY Television Niigata, 2025
  8. 8.トキエアの26年3月期、2期連続債務超過 最終赤字24億円 (opens in a new tab) · Nikkei, 2026
  9. 9.トキエア、佐渡空港へのチャーター便を運航 (Sado charter, passenger limit) (opens in a new tab) · sky-budget, 2026
  10. 10.トキエア、ICAO 3レターとIATA 2レター決定 TOKとBV (ICAO and IATA codes, 2 June 2023) (opens in a new tab) · Aviation Wire, 2023
  11. 11.IATA airline code search – BV (opens in a new tab) · IATA, 2026
  12. 12.International Aviation Safety Assessment (IASA) country list (opens in a new tab) · FAA, 2025
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