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SafetyScorer

Is American football safe?

American football

Deaths in organised US football are rare, under 1 per 100,000 high-school players a season, and most are from heat stroke and heart problems rather than collisions. The bigger concern is the brain. Concussions are common in games, and the odds of CTE rise with every year played.

High confidence#29 of 53 activitiesUpdated
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Risk of death
about 0.1 MicromortA one-in-a-million chance of death. It lets you compare the risk of very different activities on one scale.More in the glossary per high-school practice or game (2016–2023, our estimate); about 8 per season
Football deaths, all US levels, 2025
7 during football activity (0 from collisions, 6 from exertion or medical causes, 1 unknown)
Collision deaths, 2016–2025
27, down from 49 in 2006–2015
Exertional heat stroke deaths, 2016–2025
19 deaths
Serious non-fatal injuries, 2025
39 neck, brain and organ injuries, 11 with lasting damage
Time-loss injury rate
4.01 per 1,000 practices and games (high school), 7.29 (college)
CTE odds
Double every 2.6 years played (brain bank study)

How the score breaks down

The overall score is the weighted average of these factors. Scoring rules

  • Fatality risk50% of score

    88 out of 100, Excellent

    NCCSIR rates for high school averaged about 0.2 deaths from collisions and 0.5 from exertion per 100,000 players a season in 2016–2023, about 8 MicromortA one-in-a-million chance of death. It lets you compare the risk of very different activities on one scale.More in the glossary a season or 0.1 per session. College rates for exertional deaths run higher.

  • Serious injury risk25% of score

    35 out of 100, Poor

    High-school players lose time to injury at 4.01 per 1,000 practices and games, and games are 5.6 times riskier than practice. Concussion is common in games, and a brain bank study found the odds of CTE double with every 2.6 years played.

  • Controllability15% of score

    55 out of 100, Fair

    Most deaths are now from heat stroke, sickle cell trait and heart problems, which heat rules, screening and defibrillators can prevent. Banning head-first contact cut neck injuries. But big collisions in games remain, and helmets do not stop concussion.

  • Rescue and environment10% of score

    85 out of 100, Excellent

    Games and practices are at schools and stadiums near roads, often with an athletic trainer on site. Heat stroke needs cold-water immersion within minutes, which many smaller programmes still lack.

Compared with everyday risks

  • An hour's walk1 in 14 million
  • American football: per high-school practice or gameThis activity1 in 10 million
  • Driving 100 miles (160 km)1 in 5.9 million
  • A day of skiing1 in 1.3 million
  • An ordinary day: accidents and violence1 in 1 million
  • A scuba dive1 in 500,000
  • Cycling 100 miles (160 km)1 in 430,000
  • Running a marathon1 in 290,000
  • A skydive1 in 250,000
  • A general anaesthetic1 in 100,000
  • Riding a motorbike 100 miles (160 km)1 in 83,000
Chance of dying from each activity, on a log scale (longer bar = riskier). Activity figures are approximate and come from our activity pages; the ordinary day and the anaesthetic come from The Norm Chronicles (Blastland and Spiegelhalter, 2013).

Is American football safe?

For staying alive, yes, mostly. For the brain, it is the most studied sport in the world, and the findings are uncomfortable. The National Center for Catastrophic Sport Injury Research (NCCSIR) at the University of North Carolina has counted football deaths since 1931. In 2025 it recorded 7 deaths during football activities across about 4.2 million US players at all levels, and none of them came from a collision. In high school, deaths from all causes averaged under 1 per 100,000 players a season in 2016–2023. With a season of roughly 60 to 70 practices and games, that works out at about 0.1 MicromortA one-in-a-million chance of death. It lets you compare the risk of very different activities on one scale.More in the glossary a session.

The real cost is concussions and the long-term effects of thousands of sub-concussive hits, which do not show up in death counts.

Why the deaths have changed

Football used to kill players through the head and neck. In the 1960s and 1970s, players were taught to tackle and block with the helmet first, and broken necks and fatal brain bleeds were common. Rule changes in 1976 banned using the head as the first point of contact, and the numbers fell. Deaths from collisions have kept falling: 27 at all levels in 2016–2025 against 49 in the decade before, a 45% drop.

Today most deaths are "indirect": the body fails under exertion. Since 2000, these have outnumbered collision deaths about 3 to 1. The main causes are:

  • Heart problems, often an undiagnosed condition, which cause most exertional deaths.
  • Exertional heat stroke, with 19 deaths in 2016–2025. Most happen in summer practice and conditioning.
  • Sickle cell trait, a common inherited condition that is usually harmless but can cause collapse during intense, repeated sprints. Since the NCAA required players to know their status in 2010, deaths in top-division college football have fallen sharply.

Serious injuries short of death

In 2025 NCCSIR captured 39 catastrophic non-fatal injuries: 20 to the neck, 6 to the brain and 13 to internal organs and the chest. Eleven left the player with lasting damage. Neck injuries with incomplete recovery have halved since the late 1970s, to about 6 a year, but brain injuries with incomplete recovery have risen, from 2.4 a year in 1986–1990 to 5.2 a year in 2021–2025. Most happen to middle- and high-school players, almost always in games, and tackling causes more than half of the neck injuries.

Everyday injuries are frequent. In national surveillance from 2005 to 2014, high-school players lost at least a day to injury at a rate of 4.01 per 1,000 practices and games, and college players at 7.29. Games were 5.6 times riskier than practice in high school, and concussion was one of the most common injuries in games across most positions.

Concussion and CTE

Chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE) is a degenerative brain disease that can only be confirmed after death. In 2023 Boston University's CTE Center reported finding it in 345 of 376 former NFL players whose brains it had studied. That figure says less than it seems: families tend to donate brains when they have seen symptoms, so the sample over-represents players with problems.

The stronger evidence is the dose-response. In a 2020 study of 266 deceased players, the odds of CTE rose by 30% for every year of football played, doubling roughly every 2.6 years. Players with long careers, from youth football through college or the NFL, take by far the most head impacts.

How to play more safely

  1. Acclimatise to heat over the first 14 days of preseason. Build up intensity and equipment gradually, check the wet-bulb temperature, and give plenty of water and rest breaks in the shade.
  2. Make sure there is a cold-water tub or cooling tarp on site. The rule for heat stroke is "cool first, transport second": bring the core temperature down before the ambulance ride.
  3. Know your sickle cell trait status and avoid repeated maximal sprints and conditioning tests without rest.
  4. Have an athletic trainer and a defibrillator at every practice and game, with a written emergency plan.
  5. Tackle with the head up and to the side. Coaches should limit full-contact practice; by 2016, 44 state high-school associations had rules limiting it.
  6. Report concussion symptoms and sit out until cleared. A second hit before recovery is far more dangerous than the first.
  7. Think about years of tackle football. Flag football before high school cuts head impacts without cutting the skills.

How we scored it

Fatality risk (88) is low, at about 0.1 MicromortA one-in-a-million chance of death. It lets you compare the risk of very different activities on one scale.More in the glossary per high-school session. Serious injury risk (35) is the weakest factor, because concussion is common and CTE risk rises with years played. Controllability (55) reflects how preventable today's exertional deaths are, and rescue (85) is good where an athletic trainer is present. Compare rugby, which has similar collision risks without helmets, and boxing, where blows to the head are the aim of the sport.

Questions people ask

How many high school football players die each year?

In recent years, a handful. NCCSIR counted 7 football-related deaths at all levels in 2025, none from collisions, and 27 collision deaths at all levels over 2016–2025. With about 1.1 million high-school players, deaths in high school run under 1 per 100,000 players a season, and most are from heat stroke or heart problems.

Do football helmets prevent concussions?

No helmet prevents concussion. Modern helmets were designed to stop skull fractures and bleeding on the brain, which they do well. Concussion comes from the brain moving inside the skull, so fewer hits to the head and good tackling technique matter more than the helmet model.

Do all NFL players get CTE?

No one knows the true share. Boston University found CTE in 345 of 376 former NFL players' brains it studied, but families usually donate brains because they suspect a problem, so this sample is biased. The same group found that the odds of CTE double with every 2.6 years of football played.

At what age is tackle football safe for children?

There is no agreed safe age. CTE risk rises with years played rather than starting age alone in the main brain bank study, so fewer years of tackle football means fewer head impacts. Flag football gives children the skills with far fewer hits; talk to your child's doctor if they have had a concussion before.

What causes most football deaths today?

Exertion, not collisions. Since 2000, deaths from heat stroke, cardiac arrest and sickle cell trait have outnumbered deaths from hits about 3 to 1. Many happen in summer practice and conditioning sessions, not in games.

Sources

  1. 1.Annual Survey of Football Injury Research, 1931–2025 (opens in a new tab) · National Center for Catastrophic Sport Injury Research (UNC), 2026
  2. 2.Annual Survey of Catastrophic Football Injuries, 2025 report (opens in a new tab) · National Center for Catastrophic Sport Injury Research (UNC), 2026
  3. 3.Descriptive epidemiology of injuries in US high school and NCAA football, 2004–2014 (opens in a new tab) · Journal of Athletic Training (Kerr et al.), 2018
  4. 4.Duration of American football play and chronic traumatic encephalopathy (opens in a new tab) · Annals of Neurology (Mez et al.), 2020
  5. 5.Researchers find CTE in 345 of 376 former NFL players studied (opens in a new tab) · Boston University CTE Center, 2023
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