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SafetyScorer

Is Rugby safe?

Rugby

Death on a rugby pitch is rare, roughly half a micromort per adult match on South African data. Injuries are the real cost. Concussion is the most common match injury in English professional and community rugby, and former elite players face a higher risk of neurodegenerative disease.

Medium confidence#35 of 53 activitiesUpdated
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Risk of death
about 0.5 MicromortA one-in-a-million chance of death. It lets you compare the risk of very different activities on one scale.More in the glossary per adult match (our estimate from South Africa, 2008–2011); about 14 per adult season
Catastrophic injuries, England
0.8 per 100,000 players a year
Professional match injuries, England
76 per 1,000 player-hours (Premiership, 2022–23)
Community match injuries, England
29.2 per 1,000 player-hours, men; 32.4, women (2021–22)
Share of injuries that are concussions
24% in the Premiership; 17% (men) to 22% (women) in community rugby
Neurodegenerative disease in former internationals
2.67 times the general population (Scotland)

How the score breaks down

The overall score is the weighted average of these factors. Scoring rules

  • Fatality risk50% of score

    86 out of 100, Excellent

    South Africa recorded 9 rugby deaths in 2008–2011 among 651,146 players, 7 of them among 121,663 adults. That is about 14 MicromortA one-in-a-million chance of death. It lets you compare the risk of very different activities on one scale.More in the glossary per adult season, roughly 0.5 per match. Junior rates were far lower.

  • Serious injury risk25% of score

    35 out of 100, Poor

    English community men miss more than a week through injury at 29.2 per 1,000 match-hours (2021–22), about one injury every 26 full matches; professionals 76 (2022–23). Concussion is the top diagnosis, and former Scottish internationals had 2.67 times the risk of neurodegenerative disease.

  • Controllability15% of score

    50 out of 100, Weak

    Tackle technique, conditioning, scrum law changes, lower tackle heights and strict concussion protocols reduce the risk; French scrum changes cut catastrophic neck injuries. But collisions are the game and most injuries happen in the tackle.

  • Rescue and environment10% of score

    85 out of 100, Excellent

    Matches are played on pitches near roads, usually with first aiders and often a doctor at higher levels. Brain and spinal injuries need fast transfer to a specialist hospital, which takes longer from rural clubs.

Compared with everyday risks

  • An hour's walk1 in 14 million
  • Driving 100 miles (160 km)1 in 5.9 million
  • Rugby: per adult matchThis activity1 in 2 million
  • A day of skiing1 in 1.3 million
  • An ordinary day: accidents and violence1 in 1 million
  • A scuba dive1 in 500,000
  • Cycling 100 miles (160 km)1 in 430,000
  • Running a marathon1 in 290,000
  • A skydive1 in 250,000
  • A general anaesthetic1 in 100,000
  • Riding a motorbike 100 miles (160 km)1 in 83,000
Chance of dying from each activity, on a log scale (longer bar = riskier). Activity figures are approximate and come from our activity pages; the ordinary day and the anaesthetic come from The Norm Chronicles (Blastland and Spiegelhalter, 2013).

Is rugby safe?

Rugby rarely kills, but it hurts a lot of people. On data from South Africa, which kept a full register of serious rugby injuries from 2008 to 2011, an adult player faced about 14 MicromortA one-in-a-million chance of death. It lets you compare the risk of very different activities on one scale.More in the glossary of risk over a season. Spread over a typical season of matches, that is about half a micromort a game, similar to a day of skiing or a horse ride.

The bigger issue is injury. In English community rugby, a man playing a full match has about a 1 in 26 chance of an injury that keeps him out for more than a week. In the professional Premiership it is about 1 in 10. And the most common of those injuries is concussion.

This page covers rugby union. Rugby league has similar collision risks and injury patterns.

How rugby players die

Deaths come from three causes, and the South African register saw all of them: 3 spinal cord injuries, 4 brain injuries and 2 cardiac events in four seasons, among about 650,000 registered players. Seven of the nine deaths were adults, who are far more exposed than juniors to the forces of a senior scrum and tackle.

Brain injuries include second impact syndrome, a rare and disputed condition in which a second blow before a concussion has healed causes the brain to swell. The best-known case is Rowan Stringer, a 17-year-old Canadian player who died in 2013 after hiding symptoms of two recent head injuries. Her death led to Canada's first concussion law.

Neck injuries in the scrum were once the most feared catastrophe in rugby. In France, catastrophic cervical spine injuries fell from 1.8 to 1.0 per 100,000 players a year between 2006 and 2013, after a prevention programme and changes to how scrums engage. Hookers still carry an outsized share: in South Africa, 46% of permanent spinal cord injuries happened to players in that position, most of them in the scrum.

How often rugby players are injured

England has run injury surveillance in professional rugby since 2002 and in community rugby since 2009. The two projects count injuries that keep a player out of training or matches.

Level (England)Match injuries per 1,000 player-hoursConcussion share
Premiership, 2022–237624%
Community men, 2021–2229.217%
Community women, 2021–2232.422%

The community figures count only injuries lasting more than seven days. The tackle caused 59% of injuries for men and 70% for women. Professional injuries kept players out for 38 days on average in 2022–23, and concussion has been the most common match injury in the Premiership for 12 seasons running.

The long-term brain question

The concern that has changed rugby most in recent years is not death on the pitch but what repeated head impacts do over decades. A Scottish study followed 412 former international players and compared them with 1,236 men of the same age and background. The rugby players were more than twice as likely to be diagnosed with neurodegenerative disease (11.4% against 5.4%), even though they lived longer than the comparison group up to age 70.

That is a finding about elite players with long careers. Nobody yet knows how much the risk applies to a club player who plays for ten seasons.

How to play more safely

  1. Learn to tackle low and with your head to the side. Several unions, including Scotland's, have lowered the legal tackle height in community rugby; early data show fewer head-to-head contacts.
  2. Report every suspected concussion, even your own. Follow the graduated return-to-play protocol, and never play with a headache, dizziness or blurred vision.
  3. Do the neck and conditioning work. Front-row players in particular should follow the union's scrum training programme before playing in a contested scrum.
  4. Play at your level and age group. Adults and late-teen players face much higher forces than juniors; mismatches in size and skill increase risk.
  5. Wear a gumshield. It protects teeth; it does not prevent concussion, and neither does soft headgear.
  6. Know your club's emergency plan. Someone should know the nearest hospital with a trauma unit and how to keep a player with a suspected neck injury still.

How we scored it

Fatality risk (86) is low, at about half a MicromortA one-in-a-million chance of death. It lets you compare the risk of very different activities on one scale.More in the glossary per adult match on South African data. Serious injury risk (35) is the weakest factor because time-loss injuries and concussions are common. Controllability (50) reflects that technique and laws help but collisions are the game. Rescue (85) is close at hand on most pitches. Compare boxing, where blows to the head are the aim of the sport, and horse riding, with a similar overall score.

Questions people ask

How many people die playing rugby?

Very few. A South African registry found 9 deaths in four seasons among about 650,000 players, from spinal injuries, brain injuries and heart events. That is about 14 MicromortA one-in-a-million chance of death. It lets you compare the risk of very different activities on one scale.More in the glossary per adult season. English catastrophic injury rates, which include paralysis, are lower than South Africa's.

Is rugby more dangerous than American football?

On catastrophic injuries the two are similar. A 2008 review put rugby union in England at 0.8 and American football at about 2 catastrophic injuries per 100,000 players a year, with rugby in New Zealand and Australia above 4. Both sports have concussion as a leading injury.

How common are concussions in rugby?

In English community rugby in 2021–22, a men's team could expect a concussion about every 10 games, and women's teams more often. In the Premiership, concussions ran at 18.4 per 1,000 player-hours in 2022–23 and made up 24% of all match injuries.

Is rugby safe for children?

Catastrophic injuries are much rarer in junior rugby than in adult rugby, about 0.6 against 3.5 per 100,000 players a year for serious neck injuries in France. Children still get concussed, and a second blow before recovery can be fatal. Many unions now use modified, lower-contact rules for younger age groups.

Does playing rugby cause dementia?

A study of 412 former Scottish international players found neurodegenerative disease in 11.4%, against 5.4% of matched men from the general population. That is an association in elite players with long careers; the risk for club players is not known.

Sources

  1. 1.The incidence of rugby-related catastrophic injuries (including cardiac events) in South Africa from 2008 to 2011 (opens in a new tab) · BMJ Open (Brown et al.), 2013
  2. 2.Professional Rugby Injury Surveillance Project, 2022–23 season report (opens in a new tab) · RFU, Premiership Rugby, RPA and University of Bath, 2024
  3. 3.Community Rugby Injury Surveillance and Prevention Project, 2021–22 report (opens in a new tab) · RFU, 2022
  4. 4.Catastrophic injury in rugby union – is the level of risk acceptable? (opens in a new tab) · Sports Medicine (Fuller), 2008
  5. 5.Neurodegenerative disease risk among former international rugby union players (opens in a new tab) · Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery and Psychiatry (Russell et al.), 2022
  6. 6.Impact of the national prevention policy and scrum law changes on catastrophic cervical spine injuries in French rugby union (opens in a new tab) · British Journal of Sports Medicine, 2018
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