Is Ethiopian Airlines safe?
Ethiopian Airlines
Ethiopian is Africa's largest and most professional airline, with a young fleet, IOSA registration and a regulator rated well by ICAO. But it has had two crashes in 16 years in which everyone died, ET409 in 2010 and ET302 in 2019, and pilots fell asleep on an approach in 2022.
- Fatal accidents (last 20 years)
- 2 (ET409 in 2010, ET302 in 2019)
- Deaths in those accidents
- 247 people on board
- Fleet
- 162 aircraft, average 9.4 years (2026)
- Main types
- Boeing 737 MAX 8, 787, Airbus A350, Dash 8-400
- Home regulator
- Ethiopian Civil Aviation Authority (ICAO score 91.78%)
- FAA IASA
- FAA IASAThe US FAA's check of whether a country's aviation regulator meets ICAO standards. Category 1 means it does; Category 2 means it does not.More in the glossary
- IOSA
- Registered (IATA member)
How the score breaks down
The overall score is the weighted average of these factors. Scoring rules
Accident record40% of score
48 out of 100, WeakTwo crashes killed everyone on board in the last 20 years, ET409 (737-800) off Beirut in January 2010 (90 dead) and ET302 (737 MAX 8) near Addis Ababa in March 2019 (157 dead). Dash 8s were also Hull lossAn accident in which an aircraft is destroyed or damaged beyond economic repair. People may or may not be hurt.More in the glossary in Runway excursionWhen an aircraft leaves the runway surface during take-off or landing, either off the end (an overrun) or off the side (a veer-off).More in the glossary at Dire Dawa (2016), Juba (2019) and Mekele (2024), without deaths.
Regulatory oversight20% of score
80 out of 100, GoodThe Ethiopian Civil Aviation Authority scored 91.78% in its ICAO audit (reported in 2020, up from 73.2% in 2018), Ethiopia holds FAA IASAThe US FAA's check of whether a country's aviation regulator meets ICAO standards. Category 1 means it does; Category 2 means it does not.More in the glossary Category 1, and the airline is IOSAThe IATA Operational Safety Audit, an international audit of an airline's safety management and operations. Every IATA member must pass it.More in the glossary. Foreign investigators disputed the ET302 report.
Fleet15% of score
84 out of 100, Good162 aircraft averaging 9.4 years in 2026 (Nairametrics), mostly A350s, 787s and 737 MAX 8s. About 30 Dash 8-400 turboprops fly domestic routes.
Serious incidents15% of score
60 out of 100, FairRepeated serious incidents, at the rubric line of 60. Dash 8-400 Runway excursionWhen an aircraft leaves the runway surface during take-off or landing, either off the end (an overrun) or off the side (a veer-off).More in the glossary Hull lossAn accident in which an aircraft is destroyed or damaged beyond economic repair. People may or may not be hurt.More in the glossary at Dire Dawa (2016), Juba (2019) and Mekele (2024), another at Mekele in 2025, two pilots asleep on a 737 in 2022, and a landing at the wrong airport in 2021.
Operating environment10% of score
58 out of 100, FairAddis Ababa Bole sits at about 2,330 m (7,600 ft), which makes take-offs more demanding. Much of the network serves African airports with weaker approach aids and air traffic services, and internal conflict has closed domestic airports at times since 2020.
Is Ethiopian Airlines safe?
Ethiopian is a well-run airline with a modern fleet and a serious safety culture, but its crash record is much weaker than those of Emirates or Turkish Airlines. Two of its aircraft have crashed in the last 20 years, killing everyone on board: ET409 off Beirut in 2010 and ET302 near Addis Ababa in 2019. We score it 63. The fleet and the oversight are good; the accident record, the run of Runway excursionWhen an aircraft leaves the runway surface during take-off or landing, either off the end (an overrun) or off the side (a veer-off).More in the glossary and the difficult operating environment pull the score down.
The two crashes
ET409, 25 January 2010. A Boeing 737-800 took off from Beirut at night in thunderstorms and crashed into the Mediterranean minutes later, killing all 90 people on board. Lebanon's investigators concluded that the crew lost control after mishandling speed, altitude and heading and failing to follow air traffic control instructions. Ethiopian rejected the report and argued that the aircraft may have been hit by lightning or sabotaged. The Lebanese report found no evidence of either.
ET302, 10 March 2019. Six minutes after take-off from Addis Ababa, a four-month-old Boeing 737 MAX 8 crashed near Bishoftu, killing all 157 people on board. A faulty angle-of-attack sensor triggered the MCAS flight-control software, which pushed the nose down again and again. It was the second MAX crash in five months, after Lion Air 610, and it led to the worldwide grounding of the type.
Ethiopia's final report, published in December 2022, put the blame on Boeing's design and on the FAA's certification. The US NTSB and France's BEA said the report had not dealt properly with the crew's actions, notably flying with take-off thrust set, which made the aircraft too fast for the pilots to trim manually. Both views are partly right. The design fault was the root cause, and pilots elsewhere might also not have saved the aircraft.
Recent serious incidents
- 15 August 2022: on ET343 from Khartoum, both pilots fell asleep, and the 737 overflew Addis Ababa at 37,000 feet until the autopilot disconnect alarm woke them. They landed about 25 minutes later.
- 4 April 2021: ET841, a 737-800 bound for Ndola in Zambia, landed at the nearby Copperbelt International Airport, which was still under construction.
- 22 July 2020: a Boeing 777 freighter was destroyed by a cargo fire on the ground at Shanghai.
- Dash 8 Runway excursionWhen an aircraft leaves the runway surface during take-off or landing, either off the end (an overrun) or off the side (a veer-off).More in the glossary: Dash 8-400s ran off the runway and were Hull lossAn accident in which an aircraft is destroyed or damaged beyond economic repair. People may or may not be hurt.More in the glossary at Juba in December 2019 and at Mekele in January 2024. Another left the runway at Mekele in July 2025, reportedly on its third landing attempt in heavy rain; two crew were hurt.
Only the 2025 Mekele excursion caused injuries. But the sleeping crew and the landing at the wrong airport point to crew alertness and procedures, the human factors that caused ET409.
A young fleet
Nairametrics put Ethiopian's fleet at 162 aircraft with an average age of 9.4 years in 2026, among the youngest in Africa. Long-haul flights use Airbus A350s, Boeing 787s and 777s; regional and domestic flights use 737s, including 27 MAX 8s, and about 30 Dash 8-400 turboprops. Ethiopian runs its own maintenance and a large aviation academy in Addis Ababa, and maintains aircraft for other African airlines.
Oversight and operating environment
Ethiopia's Civil Aviation Authority scored 91.78% in its ICAO audit, according to figures reported in February 2020, up from 65% in 2006 and 73.2% in 2018. The country holds FAA IASAThe US FAA's check of whether a country's aviation regulator meets ICAO standards. Category 1 means it does; Category 2 means it does not.More in the glossary Category 1, and Ethiopian, as an IATA member, is IOSAThe IATA Operational Safety Audit, an international audit of an airline's safety management and operations. Every IATA member must pass it.More in the glossary. One weakness is closeness: the airline, the regulator and the accident investigation bureau are all arms of one state, and foreign investigators questioned the ET302 report.
The environment is harder than for most international airlines. Bole airport is about 2,330 m above sea level, so aircraft need more runway and climb more slowly. Many African destinations have limited radar coverage and fewer precision approaches. Ethiopia's internal conflicts have closed domestic airports at times since 2020.
Flying Ethiopian: practical points
- On long-haul flights, prefer the A350 or 787. They are the newest aircraft and fly most intercontinental routes.
- For onward African connections, check whether the flight is run by Ethiopian or by a partner such as ASKY or Malawi Airlines; partners are not covered by this score.
- Check your government's advice for domestic travel in Ethiopia, especially to the north, before booking connecting domestic flights.
How we scored it
The accident record (48) is the dominant factor: two crashes that killed everyone on board in 20 years put it in the lowest band of our rubric. The fleet (84) and oversight (80) are strong for the region. Compare Turkish Airlines, a similar long-haul hub airline that scores higher, and Air India.
Questions people ask
What caused the Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash?
On 10 March 2019, a faulty angle-of-attack sensor on ET302 triggered Boeing's MCAS software, which repeatedly pushed the nose down after take-off from Addis Ababa. Ethiopia's final report (December 2022) blamed the aircraft design. The US NTSB and France's BEA said the report should also have addressed how the crew handled the emergency, including the high thrust they left set.
Is the Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX safe now?
The 737 MAX was grounded worldwide for about 20 months and returned in late 2020 after Boeing changed MCAS so that it uses two sensors and cannot repeatedly override the pilots. Ethiopian brought its MAX fleet back in 2022. See our Boeing 737 MAX page for the type's full record.
Is Ethiopian Airlines the safest airline in Africa?
It is the largest and best-equipped, with a young fleet and full IOSAThe IATA Operational Safety Audit, an international audit of an airline's safety management and operations. Every IATA member must pass it.More in the glossary, and Ethiopia's regulator scored above most African states in ICAO audits. But its two fatal crashes since 2010 mean its record over 20 years is weaker than smaller carriers with no accidents.
Did Ethiopian pilots really fall asleep?
Yes. On 15 August 2022, both pilots of flight ET343, a Boeing 737 from Khartoum, fell asleep in cruise and the aircraft flew past Addis Ababa at 37,000 feet until the autopilot disconnected and its alarm woke them. They landed safely about 25 minutes later. Ethiopian removed the crew from duty pending an investigation.
Sources
- 1.ASN Wikibase 319474 – Ethiopian Airlines ET302, 10 March 2019 (opens in a new tab) · Aviation Safety Network, 2019
- 2.ASN Wikibase 321367 – Ethiopian Airlines ET409, Beirut, 25 January 2010 (opens in a new tab) · Aviation Safety Network, 2010
- 3.Accident investigation report into Ethiopian B737-8 MAX jetliner highlights faulty design (opens in a new tab) · The Reporter Ethiopia, 2022
- 4.Ethiopia hits Africa's highest grade in ICAO USOAP audit (opens in a new tab) · Ecofin Agency, 2020
- 5.Top 10 African airlines with the largest fleets in 2026 (opens in a new tab) · Nairametrics, 2026
- 6.Ethiopian B738 at Addis Ababa on Aug 15th 2022, pilots asleep (opens in a new tab) · AeroInside, 2022
- 7.Ethiopian B738 at Ndola on Apr 4th 2021, landed at airport under construction (opens in a new tab) · AeroInside, 2021
- 8.ASN Wikibase 527641 – Ethiopian Dash 8-400 runway excursion, Mekele, 16 July 2025 (opens in a new tab) · Aviation Safety Network, 2025
- 9.IASA Program Results (opens in a new tab) · FAA, 2025